Football Gambling

NFL, Soccer betting and gambling

Picking Winners in NFL Football Games – The Basics

May 8th, 2012

When it comes to picking winners in NFL football, it is very easy to sling a dart at the wall and hope for the best. NFL winners are fifty-fifty ventures at worst, so you are bound to get some right. Still, there are guys out there like me that pick NFL winners on a regular basis with very few losers. Why is it that they win a higher percentage than most and do it every single week? The primary reason is because they have sound basics and stick to those when times are tough. Here are some basic tips to picking winners in NFL football games on a regular basis that will always keep you in the green:

Check your emotions at the door

Some guys I know simply refuse to bet games on teams they have serious emotions about. I am a huge Carolina Panthers fan, and once was a huge Philadelphia Eagles fan. These two teams provided me with a very interesting test several years ago. I kept up with my stats and it was abundantly clear that it is not good to bet on games involving your own teams. That seems like common sense, but it was nice to see it in black and white. Leave your teams out and you will be ahead of the game already.

Don’t forget the injured list

It is amazing how many people lose games simply because they did not bother to see who was in and who was out. Checking the injured list is a huge deal and it is not always about major players. Peyton Manning being out is huge news, but so is the lesser known offensive lineman that keeps him safe during the game. Think of all the angles you can.

Put weight on the home team when all things are equal

Some people give a huge advantage to the home team regardless of the abilities of the teams. Certainly there are teams that dominate at home. Most teams, however, are only going to win at home when they are the better team. Don’t give massive points for a home field advantage if the team is clearly inferior to the opposition. Only add weight to the home team when the teams are equal or the home team is clearly better.

Do look around at what the experts have to say

Many football picking experts like to say to ignore the NFL analysts and various television announcers when it comes to learning about the teams and players. The truth is, these guys know the game pretty darn well. You should never take only one opinion, however, and place a wager on it. Look at a game from many sides and listen to what all the experts have to say. If you stick with the majority most of the time, you will be good to go. By all means throw in a gut feeling type of game now and then, or take a chance on a stinker, but stick to the consensus for the biggest majority of your bets.

This is far from the only tips you need to start betting, but it will certainly accentuate your typical betting routine if you don’t know them already. The basics are vital to any successful betting venture, and these are the most common ones.

Getting the Most Out of Sports Betting

May 4th, 2012

If you want to have the most fun when you are betting on sports, then you need to give yourself the best possible chance of winning. Obviously it will always be a gamble, as you will never know whether you will win. However, you can improve your odds of winning.

Sometime sit can get better with practice, but with betting it is more about doing your research. You need to very carefully take a look at all the competitors and work out which has the best possible chance of winning. If it is a sport that you already know a lot about, then you have a much better chance of making a good decision.

You may find that if you do bet on the team that has the best chance of winning, that the return you will get will be very small. You may make a conscious decision to bet on the underdog in the hope that they might just win and they you will get a lot of winnings. Obviously this is very risky and you need to make sure that the money you bet, you can afford to lose.

In fact it makes betting much more fun if you do make sure that every bit of money that you bet, you can afford to lose. Losing can be miserable and if you are losing money that you really need for other things, then it can be even worse. So make sure that you are sensible and that you only spend money that you do not need and then even if you do lose, things will not seem that bad.

So make sure that you do your research before you place your bet and know exactly what you are getting in to and make sure that the amount of money you bet will not effect you badly if you lose.

Betting on Rugby

April 30th, 2012

When many people think about betting on sports, they often just think about football and horse racing. However, there are many different sports which it is possible to place bets on, including rugby.

Rugby can be an exciting sport anyway, with everything that can go on during a match. Add an element of gambling to it and it can make it even more exciting. If you have bet for a specific team to win, then suddenly the result of the match is even more important and it can make watching it very exciting indeed. You can bet on your favourite team and you will be doubly excited when you win the bet because not only will you have the joy or them winning but you will also have some money back as well. You could bet against your favourite team and then if they lose, you will at least have some consolation that you will get some money back even though you will obviously not be happy about the loss.

Betting on rugby is not always as simple as betting on which team you think will win, although this is possible. You may also be able to bet on who you think might get the most tries, what the final score might be and things like that. It can be a lot of fun thinking about what you want to bet on.

If you have never placed a bet before, then you will be amazed at how simple it is. You can easily do it online and you will find that it is simple to register with one of the companies that you place bets with online. You will need to credit your account with some money to bet with, but you may even find that they match that deposit and you have even more money. It can be quick and simple and lots of fun, so why not give it a try.

European Lottery News

April 17th, 2012

The second biggest lottery in Europe is now without a doubt the EuroJackpot. While the game works as hard as it can to compete with it’s older brother the Euro Millions, there are still many cash prizes being claimed. This is allowing the game to steadily increase it’s player base especially in Finland where the live draw for the game is held every Friday in the capital, Helsinki.

This live draw occurs at 00.45 -GMT +3.  There have already been 3 completed Euro Jackpot draws and with jackpot winning odds of only 1 in 56 million it’s of great surprise that the jackpot prize has yet to be claimed. This means that on the 13th of April the prize will be an estimated €14,000,000 up for grabs. The game has already given much success to a few lucky players.  In the games second drawing on the 30th of March there were five ticket holders who managed to win €69,118 each for matching 5 main numbers and 1 Euro Number.

Although they narrowly missed out on the jackpot prize we doubt they will be unhappy with the money they made back from their €2 ticket cost. In last Friday’s draw on the 6th April even created 1 lucky winner of €312,639.  The game is set to expand with the introduction of further nations. Initially Iceland and Italy were both slated to be part of the Euro Jackpot but at present are not.

The Italian authorities are currently working on how they will implement the game, as are the gaming commissions of Iceland. Both countries hope to add the Euro Jackpot to their roster of lottery games   With the addition of extra countries sales for the game will inevitably increase. At the moment the Euro Jackpot is a sleeping giant just waiting to become the biggest rival the Euro Millions has ever seen.

Statistics to Use When Betting With NFL Handicapping

April 7th, 2012

There is almost always a system that is involved with a handicapping bet in the NFL. Some people are going to use computers in order to calculate numbers while others will simply go on gut instincts and observations. No matter what you choose and what system you are going to use, it is necessary to analyze statistics as these are the most important parts of betting on handicap. Some of the stats are going to be more important than others.

The first stat that you have to look at is average yards per attempt. This will help you to rate the skill position players of the team by looking at how many yards are covered by one attempt. When analyzing the quarterback you want to look at the yards gained for each passing attempt and the running back will show yards per carry as a crucial stat.

You should then look at scoring trends in the first half. A good team will always play well as the game start and will try to score as early as possible. If the team is great, it will also continue the trend in the second half but if they build a really good advantage in the first half, they can then use the third and fourth periods to gain time. A team that is under after the first half will need to take chances in order to get closer to the leading team.

Gamblers will analyze interceptions and sacks. This stat will show you how many times the defense will force the interception or the sack when looking at how many passing attempts were made. By analyzing such statistics, you can identify defenses that will know how to force the quarterback to make mistakes more often. If the NPP percentage is high, the defense will basically be consistently overwhelming when faced with the offensive line of the opposition.

The last important statistic to analyze when wanting to bet on handicap is the turnover ratio. This is important due to the fact that a turnover will have a really big impact on the game’s outcome. In most cases the team that will win the turnover battle is going to end up winning the game. In addition, if the team manages to have control and not make many turnovers, it will usually perform well against a spread. A turnover that happens deep in the team’s territory will usually lead to easy points for the opposing team.

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Some Facts About NFL Teaser Betting

January 23rd, 2012

The truth is that most people have no idea what an NFL teaser is but a professional will always want to analyze such an event properly. Most novice gamblers think that these will be sucker bets and they will avoid them. Different sharp bettors are going to use them as an important tool to gain profit. Most professionals are going to love the 6 points NFL teasers.

Teaser bets basically means taking a minimum of 2 teams and adding point amounts to spreads for every team that is selected. The bettor is going to win when all the teams that are included in the teaser bet will cover teaser lines. Odds will be lower and worse for a bettor and the teasers in NFL will usually start at 6 points and go up.

Professional gamblers will use NFL teasers in order to steal advantages. Sports bookers realize that pros can take advantage of this system and they are trying to minimize profits by dropping juice to -130 or -120. When analyzing NFL betting boards it is a really good idea to look at games that are attractive to tease. Lines should be surveyed every single week and you do want to look at those teases that are putting the favorite down to under 3 points.

The most important number that appears in NFL betting is 3. Most bookers will fear this number due to the fact that 1 in 5 games are going to show this difference. All bookies will need to be careful when they are booking around this number and moving lines has the potential to cause different complications. 7 is also a really important number as this difference is usually made up of 1 point and a touchdown.

In the event that you never bet on an NFL teaser, it is a good time to start as this can offer many different advantages. The problem is that a novice gambler will most likely lose because he will not be careful enough. Make sure that you will always analyze NFL key numbers and that you will learn as much as possible about the possibility to bet the teaser game. The main difference between American Football teaser bets and teaser bets that appear in other games is the fact that in NFL betting, these bet types can bring in profits while in the other sports they are mostly going to be sucker bets that will not help out the bettor.

Important Numbers in American Football Betting

January 17th, 2012

Any person that bets on American Football has to know the most important numbers that they should look at. It is just as important as being aware of the matches that take place and injuries that appeared. The key numbers that are the most common in NFL are going to indicate victory or defeat margin. American football key numbers will tell you much about sports bookers and what they try to do with a point spread while also offering information about line movements.

The final margin that is the most common is 3 points. It appears more frequent than any other but there is also the 7 points margin that is equally attractive for bettors. Statistics show that around 16% of all NFL games will end up with a 3 points difference and 8% with a 7 points margin. 6% of games finish with margins of 10 and 6. Sometimes you are going to notice that an odds maker will not show an important key number. In this case we say that it is begging for action. As an example, when you notice that a team is listed as -2.5 or +7.5 instead of -3 or +7, the odds makers are trying to make that line look attractive in most cases.

All American Football betters have to understand key numbers when buying teasing games or points. It will cost more to buy favorites down from a .5 extra or an underdog from a .5 deficit. It can be said that around 25% more will be the extra cost that is needed. You have to always take a look at the most important numbers so that you can understand when the odds makers are trying to make a move. When lines fall on 3s or 7s, most sports bookers will not want to move the line but they will adjust juice. When lines are moves, this basically means that there are important developments that appeared or a lot of betting action being done.

When betting on a teaser, you have to know critical numbers and how many the teaser will cross. The bettor can receive an advantage when a key number will be modified and this is really important. Professional American football bettors are always going to watch out for such offers as they might increase chances of gaining a higher profit. The same thing can be said for negative line changes in the sense that they are not going to bet when a line has been moved against the benefit of the gambler.

Popular American Football Bets

January 17th, 2012

There are dozens of different bet types that can be made in American Football from choosing the winner of a game to betting on who is going to eventually win the Super Bowl. Professional betters are going to know all the bet types and will try to choose the best ones possible but casual betters are usually going to think about one of two really popular bet types.

The Points Spread Bet

Whenever talking about NFL betting, this is the one bet type that is really popular and shows the most people placing bets. You might be tempted to believe that the bet type presented below is the most popular but this is not true. Points spread bets are also known as betting the spread or the line. A sportsbook will set the line by providing an estimate of the point difference that will decide the game.

As a very simple example, let us think about a points spread bet on a game between team A and B. Team A is the favorite and there is a -7 spread that is set by the sportsbook. This is basically a prediction that team A is going to win the home game by 7 points.

When you bet on Team A at the -7 spread, that team would have to win by over 7 points for the bet to be a won one. If the difference is exactly 7 points and team A wins, there is a push and the wager will be returned. Team B is listed as +7 in this example and you can win the bet if they get within a minimum of 6 points of team A. The push will appear again at exactly 7 points.

Most fans are currently betting on spreads as the game is more interesting. The team can be up by 20 points and you might still need another field goal in order to cover a spread that you bet on.

Money Line Betting

Football betters will enjoy this bet type too because of the easiness offered. You just have to bet on the winner and there is no need to think about the score. Sports bookers will set different odds before a game starts and this represents winning chances. For instance, let us say that Team A shows a 1.5 chance of winning and Team B a 2.5 chance of winning. If you bet $10 on team A, you are going to collect $15 if they win.

Making Football More Fun

October 20th, 2011

If you are one of those people who does not really like watching American Football, but feels they have to so that they have something to talk to the chaps at work about or perhaps because the family insist on watching it, then you might like to know that there is a way to game more interesting. I you place a bet on the game, then you will find that you will have a lot more interest in it. You will really care about whether a particular team wins or loses, because you will have placed some money on it.

If they win you will stand to win something and so you will really find yourself getting involved in the game, watching carefully to keep an eye on the score and really hoping that the team you have bet on will win. You will find that you will be able to remember a lot about the game, to talk to your work colleagues as well as getting involved in the action with your family. It is a great way to encourage you to watch the game and it will get you involved socially as well. You may even find that you really begin to like the game after all, having watched it properly for the first time ever.

It is a really great way to enhance your enjoyment of the game and even if you did not like it at all in the past, you may find that you begin to get interested once you have watched a game avidly. You may only still like games if you have bets on them, but if it is one that you have to watch, then at least you can make the whole experience more exciting by having some money riding on one of the teams.

Betting on Champions League Key Clashes – Tuesday October 18th

October 20th, 2011

Manchester City v Villarreal

This match is crucial for both teams as they are falling behind the other two teams in the group. Manchester City have picked up just the one point from their opening two games, however, still 1 more than Villarreal, who have lost both of their fixtures. Manchester City have home advantage here so they will need a victory here, as they will have to visit Villarreal and Napoli before they host Bayern Munich in the final match, so it will not be easy for the side from Manchester.

Manchester City are strong favourites here, as they are 1/3 to win, with Villarreal being at 9/1 for a victory. The bookmakers don’t even fancy the chances of a draw, with that being at 4/1. Villarreal are a capable side, and will be able to play good football anywhere, and usually hard to break down in previous seasons. So far they have looked weaker this season, so I will go for a narrow home win. Both of these teams will want to keep an eye on the Napoli v Bayer Munich match, as them two are in the driving seat at the moment.

My Recommendations;

Correct Score; 2-1 (11/2) First Goal Scorer; Samir Nasri for Manchester City (7/1)

Otelul Galati v Manchester United

Otelul Galati have lost both of their opening games, narrowly to Benfica and Basel, whereas United have disappointedly drawn to both of those sides. This makes this match far more important than they were expecting it to be. United will hope to get 6 points from their next two fixtures, which will set up them up for a good position to advance from the group, which was expected to be a easy after many thought it was a kind draw. Manchester United are 1/5 to win here, with Otelul Galati at 14/1. A draw is priced at 11/2. Manchester United will put out a strong team here, and they should have no difficulty in finding a win here, if they play anywhere near their potential best. Rooney or Hernandez have yet to score in the Champions League this season, so expect them to start, and my money will be on either of them to score the first goal.

My Recommendations;

Correct Score; 0-3 (6/1) First Goal Scorer; Wayne Rooney for Manchester United (5/2)

Real Madrid v Lyon

Real Madrid have cruised this group so far, picking up 6 points, scoring 4 in the process and not even conceded a goal. However, Lyon will prove to be a sterner test for the hosts. Lyon are favourites to qualify alongside Real Madrid, and any points they pick up against the Galatico’s will be seen as bonus points. Lyon and Real Mardid have met many times in the Champions League before, and it’s usually Lyon who have had it their own way, although Real Madrid knocked them out last season. Real Madrid are 7/2 for this fixture with Lyon at 11/1. I can’t see this current Real Madrid side slipping up.

My Recommendations;

Correct Score; 2-0 (5/1) First Goal Scorer; Kaka for Real Madrid (6/1)